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Backlog orders of aircraft and engines hits a record high as orders continue to surge

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The latest report from ADS Group, the trade association for the UK’s aerospace, defence, security, and space sectors, highlights a whopping 440 per cent increase year on year in aircraft orders compared to August 2022.

In total, 1,941 aircraft orders have been placed with orders for single aisle aircraft continuing to dominate market demand with 1,584 ordered compared to 357 wide-body orders year to date.

As order books continue to grow, the backlog of aircraft continues to swell, and is the largest ever with 14,535 aircraft on order following 9 per cent growth in August 2023.  At current rates, the backlog is estimated to be worth around £219 billion to the UK and represents more than 10 years of advanced manufacturing work. 

Year to date deliveries are the highest since 2018, with a total of 778 aircraft delivered, including 656 single-aisle and 122 wide-body. Despite a bumper August for aircraft orders, the 87 deliveries made falls slightly short of ADS’ forecast of 1,215 aircraft to be delivered in 2023, but this is owed to the impact of ongoing and some new supply chain issues, which have slowed the expected rate ramp up. 

A challenging operating environment

Delivery figures remain steady, and August 2023 saw an 18 per cent increase in deliveries on the same month in 2022 with growth across single-aisle and wide-body aircraft deliveries indicating that post-pandemic recovery continues and remains on track for global aircraft manufacturing to reach pre-pandemic figures by the end of 2024.

However, ADS members continue to report challenges in manufacturing with essential parts of the supply chain under significant pressure, from production disruptions, increased freight, material, and labour costs to name a few affecting aircraft production.

ADS Group notes particularly for single-aisle production, where the challenges seem to be more acute, it is essential for this to be resolved as single-aisle aircraft account for 88 per cent of the record backlog of 14,535 aircraft, and a similar proportion of the year-to-date orders and deliveries.

“The bumper orders made in August 2023 are a very welcome sign of continued confidence in the aerospace sector. With year-to-date order and delivery figures up across the board, our expectation of a return to pre-pandemic levels of manufacturing in 2024 remains unchanged,” said Aimie Stone, chief economist of ADS Group.

“For UK industry to capitalise on the manufacturing potential offered by a record aircraft backlog, challenges including supply chain issues affecting single-aisle aircraft and wider business confidence must be addressed.”